1. Houston Texans vs. IND
How does this make any sense? The Texans are coming off of one of their franchise's most embarrassing losses and they've given up over 30 points in three of their last four. So why here? Why now? Because they're ashamed of that performance, they forced six turnovers the week before and Andrew Luck has thrown 18 picks this season, with 13 coming on the road.
2. Cincinnati Bengals at PHI
Thursday night games have been plagued with poor plays, miscues and low scores this season, which makes most fantasy players have a lower value, unless you're a defense. The Bengals are quietly one of the best defensive sides in football, as they lead the league with 42 sacks. They face an Eagles team that makes a ton of mistakes, including 41 sacks, 29 turnovers and six defensive scores this season.
3. Detroit Lions at ARI
An epic poor performance by the Cardinals last week included eight turnovers and two defensive touchdowns. That happens once in a while right? Well three weeks ago the Cards threw four picks to the Rams and two of them were taken in for scores as well. It seems like we're developing a pattern here. The Lions have not scored a defensive touchdown this season, but if you remember last year, they led the NFL in that category with seven. I think they're due.
4. New England Patriots vs. SF
The Patriots have forced multiple turnovers in seven of their last nine games and have recovered five more fumbles than any other team in the league. The Niners have been pretty good at protecting the football, allowing only 12 turnovers this season. They have allowed seven sacks and a defensive touchdown in the last two weeks though.
5. Cleveland Browns vs. WAS
I know, it's hard to believe, but the Browns are not a bad defensive football team, at least from a fantasy standpoint. They rank in the top 10 in sacks, fumble recoveries and interceptions. Yeah, I can't believe it either. They could be a great play this week against the Redskins especially if we see Kirk Cousins make his first NFL start. With RG3 suffering from a sprained knee, we'll either see Cousins or a limited RG3 at the helm. Both make for an intriguing matchup for the Browns.
6. Seattle Seahawks at BUF
Last week the Seahawks defense forced eight turnovers and scored twice. In the previous six games they forced eight turnovers and scored once. So while I believe they're a good defensive side, it was also a home game against the worst offense in football. This week they're on the road, in Toronto, against Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Bills. Fitzpatrick has thrown a pick in four of the last five games and the Bills have given up a return touchdown in two of the last four.
7. San Diego Chargers vs. CAR
We all know that the Chargers are in the midst of a down season and that the coach and GM are likely fired at the conclusion of the season, but do you know why? It's because the Chargers have scored seven defensive touchdowns this season and won't get a sniff of a playoff chance. The Chargers have now scored a defensive TD in three of the last four games. However, they face a Carolina squad that has turned the ball over only once in the last four games.
8. Chicago Bears vs. GB
I feel like the early season success the Bears have make their appearance in the top ten mandatory every week. Do I believe that Aaron Rodgers is going to throw a ton of picks this week? No, but he has thrown one in four of the last five games. It's been five weeks since the Bears have returned a touchdown, the lack of Urlacher is showing. They're still startable, but I don't have high hopes.
9. Green Bay Packers at CHI
I feel that the Packers defense is just about ready for a surge. There's a decent chance they face Jason Campbell this week, and with remaining matchups against Jake Locker and Christian Ponder, it just seems like they're about to do some big things. They've only sacked the QB twice in the last three weeks, but Clay Matthews and Charles Woodson are about to return, and they face a Bears squad that they obliterated in Week 2. On that night they picked off four Jay Cutler passes and sacked him seven times.
10. Miami Dolphins vs. JAC
This one doesn't make a lot of sense, so bear with me. The Dolphins have recorded four sacks in each of the last two weeks. The Jaguars have given up 13 sacks in Chad Henne's three starts. He's as immobile as they come, the running game is in shambles and the Dolphins secondary is much improved over the last seven weeks. All this adds up to a slow quarterback, stuck in the pocket for too long against a defense that has shown an uptick in their pass rush as of recently. It's kind of making sense now.
11. Buffalo Bills vs. SEA
12. New York Giants at ATL
13. Oakland Raiders vs. KC
14. St. Louis Rams vs. MIN
15. Minnesota Vikings at STL