1. Jimmy Graham at ATL
An uber-disappointing 33 yard performance is all we got from Jimmy Graham last week against the 49ers. It's only the third game out of the 10 he has played in which he was held scoreless though. When you score in 70 percent of your games, I would feel pretty confident about starting you too. But, chances are that you have not scored once in an NFL game this season, so start Graham against a Falcons team that he scorched for 146 yards and two touchdowns only three weeks ago.
2. Tony Gonzalez vs. NO
Speaking of scorched, Tony Gonzalez reduced the Saints defense to ashes to the tune of 11 catches, 122 yards and two scores in that same game three weeks ago. While it's probably safe to say that both of these players won't put up repeat performances of their Week 10 bonanza, who better to start than Gonzo? The Saints have allowed 55 or more yards to opposing tight ends in six straight games.
3. Owen Daniels at TEN
Back pain held Owen Daniels out of a Week 10 matchup with the Bears, but did not stop him from scoring on Thanksgiving against the Lions. It was Daniels' sixth score in his last eight games and fewer tight ends are hotter in the league. That same back pain may limit him in practice this week, so keep an eye on him up to kickoff against the Titans. Tennessee allowed eight touchdowns to tight ends in the first five weeks of the season, but have not allowed one since. One of those scores, along with 72 yards, came at the hands of Daniels in Week 4.
4. Aaron Hernandez at MIA
Aaron Hernandez was eased back into the Patriots rotation on Thanksgiving day for two reasons. First, he hadn't played in a month due to lingering ankle injuries. And second, the Pats scored 35 points in the second quarter, meaning that they really had no use for pressing Hernandez into action. While a game against the Dolphins doesn't seem like to daunting of a task for the Pats either, it's just about time to let Hernandez loose. Remember, he has scored in half of the games he's played in this season and the ‘Fins have allowed two touchdowns to tight ends in the last two weeks.
5. Jason Witten vs. PHI
If you're in a PPR league and you own Jason Witten, it's almost as good as a healthy Gronk or Graham. Witten has caught six or more passes in eight consecutive games and caught eight or more passes in three of the last five. Now, he hasn't caught a touchdown since Week 4 and only has six scores over the last 27 games, so if you're banking on six-pointers, you're better off deer hunting. Witten will likely get at least another eight catches this week, but I feel that he's got a decent shot at scoring against the Eagles. Philly has allowed a touchdown to a tight end in three of the last four games (the only one they did not allow one was three weeks ago against the Cowboys).
6. Marcedes Lewis at BUF
It's always a shot in the dark when you play Marcedes Lewis. He's topped 41 yards only twice this season and scores once in a blue moon, but here's why I think it will happen this week. He's playing Buffalo. The Bills are as good at defending as you are at being a ninja. My apologies to any real ninjas playing fantasy football. The Bills have allowed over 110 yards to the tight end position three times this season, which is nearly impossible to do. Chad Henne has the passing game in working order too, so I don't mind Lewis as a fill in this week.
7. Kyle Rudolph at GB
Facts: The Vikings have one big red zone passing target. His name is Kyle Rudolph. He's scored in each of the last two games. He's already passed his post-concussion baseline tests and will play this weekend in Green Bay. Enough with the facts, let's talk about the Packers. While Green Bay has not allowed a touchdown to a tight end in six straight games, they're not a good pass defense and will likely be missing both Clay Matthews and Charles Woodson this weekend. While I don't believe Rudolph will lead the Vikes to an upset in Lambeau, I think he's got as good of a chance at scoring as any player on the field.
8. Vernon Davis at STL
Just when we though Colin Kaepernick has brought Vernon Davis back from the dead, he comes up with a goose egg against the Saints. What!?!? When you go from 83 yards and a score against the Bears to nothing against the lowly Saints, something is up. To be fair, the 49ers weren't forced to pass much due to the fact that their defense kept scoring touchdowns. While that may happen again, we're going to give Davis one more go against the Rams. Opposing tight ends have been averaging seven receptions against the Rams in the last four weeks, if that's the case I like Vern's chances to score.
9. Martellus Bennett at WAS
Martellus Bennett dazzled us with touchdowns in each of his first three games as a Giant, but he's scored a big fat zero since then. In fact, Bennett has only had one game since Week 4 of over 44 yards. That happened to be a five-catch, 79-yard performance in Week 7 against this week's opponent, the Washington Redskins. The Redskins are terrible at defending the pass, and specifically poor against tight ends. They've allowed touchdowns to a tight end in six games and allowed more than 60 yards seven times.
10. Antonio Gates vs. CIN
Where have you gone old Antonio? Our fantasy nation turns it's lowly eyes to you. This Danario character showed up and all of the sudden, chop liver! Antonio Gates has totaled a meek four catches for 30 yards over the last two weeks, which included a matchup against the tight end-friendly Broncos. Cincinnati comes to San Diego this weekend and they've been moderately kind to tight ends as well. The Bengals have allowed three touchdowns to tight ends in the last six weeks and have allowed a score to the tight end of each of their AFC North opponents.
11. Scott Chandler vs. JAC
12. Ben Watson at OAK
13. Brandon Pettigrew vs. IND
14. Dustin Keller vs. ARI
15. Jermaine Gresham at SD