Week Seventeen Analysis:
Knowshon Moreno's career-high 291 touches may be catching up to him, as his fantasy production has sputtered a bit down the stretch. Over the last two weeks, he's averaged a paltry 13 touches for 79 scoreless combo yards, but he'll get a nice opportunity to finish on a high note against the Raiders. In their last four games against opposing backs, Oakland has allowed 11 touchdowns and an average of 199 combo yards per game. It doesn't get any better than this.
Week Sixteen Analysis:
Knowshon Moreno was one of several Broncos who disappointed last week, and his flop was probably the most concerning. His eight carries were a season-low, and he lost significant snaps to Montee Ball. Moreover, he's not finding much running room—he's now failed to top even 3.1 yards per carry in six of his last nine games. Still, it's been a remarkable season, and Moreno has earned a mulligan. The Texans have allowed a charitable 4.7 yards per carry over their last five games, and a receiving touchdown in three straight. Moreno has averaged five catches in his last three outings, so that's your best angle.
Week Fifteen Analysis:
Montee Ball is coming on strong down the stretch, but Knowshon Moreno's fantasy production hasn't missed a beat. He's gone for at least 90 combo yards AND a touchdown in three straight games, and he's now scored and/or topped 100 combo yards in nine of his last 10. On the other side of the ball, the Chargers' middling run defense has allowed eight touchdowns to the position in their last six games alone. Moreno went for 114 scoreless combo yards in his first meeting, which included a season-best eight catches. He's been certifiably bust-proof since the end of September, and there's no reason to think that will change this week.
Week Fourteen Analysis:
Over the last three weeks, Montee Ball has scored twice and averaged 12 touches for 73 combo yards. Meanwhile, Knowshon Moreno has reached 80 rushing yards just once in his last seven outings, and has only cracked 3.1 yards per carry in two games during that span. Thankfully, he's retaining his value through touchdowns and receptions. He's averaged a touchdown per game over his last 11 contests, and he's reached at least 49 receiving yards in five of his last eight. The Titans are an ordinary run defense, but over their last seven games, opposing backs have scored 12 times and averaged nearly 60 receiving yards. The Titans are brutally tough to throw upon, so it's a perfect matchup for another heavy workload from Moreno. The x-factor.
Week Thirteen Analysis:
A year ago last week, former No. 12 overall pick Knowshon Moreno's career was left for dead. But in Week 12 of last season, he was activated due to a Willis McGahee injury, and he's never looked back. Last Sunday night, 364 days and 14 touchdowns later, his made-for-Hollywood story reached its newest pinnacle, as he set career bests with 37 carries for 224 yards against the Patriots. Sadly, a bone bruise in his lower leg has cast a dark cloud over his availability this week. Kansas City has given up five touchdowns to opposing backs in their last two games alone, and Buffalo backs totaled 275 combo yards the week prior. This ranking is based on a slightly limited workload, so monitor Moreno's status and adjust accordingly.
Week Twelve Analysis:
Knowshon Moreno scored eight rushing touchdowns in Denver's first seven weeks, but over the last three games Montee Ball has out-scored him on the ground three-to-zero. While this is certainly becoming a concern, it's not time to panic just yet. The well-rounded Moreno ranks top-10 among backs in receiving yards, and he's also coming off a season-high 27 carries. Carolina didn't even try to establish a running game against New England Monday night, but in five games prior, the Patriots had allowed opposing backs four touchdowns and 169 combo yards per game. Moreno's lost some of his shine, but he's still startable in this high powered offense.
Week Eleven Analysis:
While Knowshon Moreno hasn't topped 15 carries or 65 rushing yards in four straight games, he's still averaging a touchdown per contest, and he's been doing some serious work in the receiving game. Moreno's posted at least 49 receiving yards in four of his last five games, and he's averaged just under six catches during that span. Kansas City's top-10 run defense is tied for the league lead with just two touchdowns allowed to opposing backs, but they did allow an inexplicable 275 combo yards to the Buffalo backfield in their last game. Denver has been exerting their will on opponents all season, so don't shy away from this matchup.
Week Ten Analysis:
Knowshon Moreno comes out of his bye having scored 13 times in his last 13 games. Considering that he was a 14th rounder and the 50th running back off the board in August drafts, Moreno is a strong Fantasy MVP candidate. Although he's only averaged 42 rushing yards in his past three games, he's averaged over five catches for 54 yards in his last four. San Diego gives up a charitable 4.6 yards per carry, and LeSean McCoy's 114 receiving yards against them marked the highest single-game total of any back in any matchup all year. The Chargers just gave up 156 rushing yards and four scores to Washington backs, so this is a fantastic matchup for Moreno.
Week Eight Analysis:
Knowshon Moreno's 49 combo yards against Indianapolis marked his second lowest output in his last 14 games. However, he punched in his league-leading eighth touchdown, and he's now visited the end zone 12 times in his last 12 games. It's gotten to the point where he's producing even in off weeks. Moreno's averaged over 21 touches in his last three games, and that kind of workload should yield big numbers against Washington. The Redskins give up 148 combo yards per game to the position, and they've surrendered five touchdowns to running backs in their last two games alone.
Week Seven Analysis:
Un. Freaking. Believable. The widely undrafted Knowshon Moreno's seven rushing touchdowns are more than Arian Foster, C.J. Spiller, Reggie Bush, Chris Johnson, Steven Jackson, Trent Richardson and Doug Martin. COMBINED. In fact, his league-leading seven rushing scores are two more than the next back on the list! He's scored 11 times in his last 11 games! It's not all touchdowns, either. Over the last five weeks, he's averaged 14 carries for 69 yards, and in the last two weeks he's totaled 12 catches for another 119 yards. Indianapolis is an ordinary run defense that's surrendered back-to-back 100-yard games, so sit back and enjoy the ride.
Week Six Analysis:
Knowshon Moreno has officially come full circle. He was the 12th pick in the 2009 NFL draft, and by 2011, he was "Blowshon." However, he's still just 26 years old, and he's seized a great opportunity and never looked back. In his last 10 games, as the lead back behind Peyton Manning, he's scored eight times and averaged over 98 combo yards. He's not a special talent, but he's a very underrated all-around back who's playing with a massive chip on his shoulder. In fact, he's been an RB1 in all formats, and he should only strengthen that status as he grinds the clock against Jacksonville's last-ranked run defense.
Week Five Analysis:
With Peyton Manning's passing game operating at historic levels, all Denver needs is a serviceable running back who doesn't screw up. That's Knowshon Moreno. He's become the unquestioned lead back over the last three weeks, rushing for 5.7 yards per carry on 12 rushing attempts per game. He's also averaged a touchdown per week during that three-game span, but his underrated receiving ability could be the key this week. Against opposing backs, Dallas is allowing just 3.8 yards per carry, but they rank bottom-four in both receptions and receiving yards, and dead last with three receiving touchdowns. Moreno has hauled in eight of nine targets, so keep riding him.
Week Four Analysis:
Knowshon Moreno's 12 carries against Oakland led the team for the third consecutive week, but his 39 yards trailed both Montee Ball and Ronnie Hillman by a wide margin. Ball has now finished one carry shy of Moreno in back-to-back weeks, and Hillman's nine carries, including a short touchdown, have turned this into a situation to avoid. If you can't, Moreno is still the guy to own, but we're talking about a below-average talent who's only getting around 40 percent of the work. One week after surrendering 158 combo yards to San Diego backs, Philadelphia gave up 207 combo yards and a score to Kansas City backs, so it's a great matchup for a bad player.
Week Three Analysis:
Knowshon Moreno's 107-yard, two-touchdown outburst against the Giants was shocking, but that doesn't mean it was a fluke. Over the final five games of last season, as the lead back in a Peyton Manning offense, Moreno scored four times and averaged over 105 combo yards. Last week's effort further distanced him from Montee Ball and Ronnie Hillman, and he'll have a great opportunity for another big game this week. The Raiders have held their own against the Colts' and Jaguars' hapless rushing attacks, but we know better. Moreno totaled 167 combo yards and a score in this meeting last year, and he should be plenty busy in an expected blowout.
Week One Analysis:
Knowshon Moreno is the least talented of Denver's three-man committee, but he just happens to be the only back who can protect both Peyton Manning and the football. And that's all Denver needs from the position. Moreno started and led the group with 12 touches for 65 combo yards, and that's probably going to be a pretty typical line. Cowboys backs averaged 4.2 yards per carry against the Giants in the opener, but they also tallied an impressive nine catches. Regardless of matchup, there's virtually no upside for Moreno in an ugly timeshare.