Week Sixteen Analysis: Josh Freeman picked a bad time for his worst game of the season, last week, actually scoring negative points in many scoring systems, and knocking myriad fantasy owners out of the playoffs. And, now he faces a much tougher secondary, the Rams. Only three teams have allowed fewer touchdown passes than the Rams' improved secondary. Even more impressive, they've allowed a total of three passing touchdowns in their last six games. Granted, they haven't played many good quarterbacks this year, and the few they have played have done well. Freeman had been a consistent scorer most of the year though, and his 10th multiple touchdown game wouldn't surprise anyone. So, there's a chance at a bounce back performance, but I'm still a little too shell shocked after last week to give him a hearty recommendation.
Week Fifteen Analysis: Last year, Josh Freeman managed to throw multiple touchdowns just four times. This year, he's failed to throw multiple touchdowns just four times. He's thrown two or more scores in eight of the last nine games, an impressive streak. And a streak that is unlikely to end. This week's opponent, the Saints, have allowed the most passing touchdowns, 27. They gave up four last week to Eli Manning. They're also allowing the second-most passing yards, 298 per game. When Freeman faced the Saints in week seven, he posted a career best game, with 420 yards and three scores.
Week Fourteen Analysis: In the last eight weeks, Josh Freeman has thrown 18 touchdown passes, but only thrown four interceptions. Only Peyton Manning, Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers can boast better numbers than that. Does this mean that Freeman is suddenly an elite quarterback? Not quite yet, but you have to pay attention to him, especially when he gets a favorable matchup, like the Eagles. In the last six weeks, Philadelphia has given up 17 touchdowns and not intercepted one pass. Not one. In those same six weeks the Eagles are worst in the league in passing touchdowns of 20 yards or more, they've surrendered eight.
Week Thirteen Analysis: Josh Freeman's six game streak with multiple touchdowns came to an abrupt halt last week as he was shut out by the excellent Atlanta secondary. He should return to a more successful outcome against a good, not great Denver secondary. The Broncos shut down Brady Quinn last week, but that doesn't even warrant a mention. Prior to facing Quinn, they had allowed exactly two touchdown passes in four the previous five games, which feels a lot more like the real secondary we've come to see. Freeman doesn't have explosive upside here. No quarterback has hit 300 yards against them this year. But, 250 yards and two scores is very reasonable.
Week Twelve Analysis: It's amazing how far Josh Freeman has come. Last year, he never threw three touchdowns in a game. This year, he's done it four times already, and we're barely halfway through the year. Last year, he managed back-to-back games with two scores only one time. Right now, he's on a six game hot streak with at least two scores. Granted most of those six games came against wobbly defenses. But last week, he put Carolina's stout secondary on their 2nd-worst game of the year. He has another difficult test this week. The Falcons are allowing just one passing touchdown per game. They rank in the top 10 in yardage allowed, and only four teams have allowed fewer touchdowns.
Week Ten Analysis: Josh Freeman is on fire, utilizing a new-found devastating running game to open up downfield bombs to Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams. In the past four weeks, he's thrown 11 touchdowns. Only Peyton Manning is hotter. The Chargers secondary hasn't allowed a touchdown pass in two weeks, but don't be deterred. They shutout Brandon Weeden in a freezing monsoon of Lake Erie, and they shutout Matt Cassell, which technically doesn't count. In the month prior, they were allowing 301 yards and three touchdowns per game, which makes Freeman highly startable.
Week Nine Analysis: In the last three games, Josh Freeman has completed exactly three touchdown passes in each contest. Not bad for a guy who only had five touchdowns through the first four games. What's even more impressive is that Freeman has logged a game with 299 or more yards in three of his last four, something he only did twice in his previous 31 games. This week he faces a Raiders club that has only allowed three passing touchdowns in their last three games, but had given up nine touchdown passes in the first four. Considering that the Raiders faced Kansas City and Jacksonville in the last two weeks, I'm not buying their sudden resurgence. Freeman has a great chance of extending his streak of strong play.
Week Eight Analysis: It's been an amazing couple of games for Josh Freeman, easily his best back-to-back games: 750 yards and 6 TDs. Granted it was KC and NO, but KC's secondary isn't half bad. Impressive. On Thursday night, face a Minnesota secondary that hasn't given up more than one touchdown pass since back in week two. He'll almost certainly see his torrid pace slowed in a short week with a travel day against a decent secondary. The Vikings do a great job of limiting opposing No. 1 receivers, so I don't expect to see Vincent Jackson dominate again. But, Mike Williams can be a key figure in Freeman's success.
Week Eight Add: With six touchdowns and 750 in the last two games, it's time to look at Josh Freeman as more than a backup for your fantasy team. He's thrown a touchdown in every game this year, and his interception numbers are way down from last year. Looking ahead, there's only one tough pass defense left on the schedule, and that's seven games from now. Otherwise, it's all neutral or easy matchups, including savory meetings with Oakland, San Diego, and New Orleans ahead. Freeman is worth $8-10.
Week Seven Analysis: You've got to pick your starts for Josh Freeman, but this is one of them. The Saints have allowed every opposing quarterback besides Matt Cassel to post multiple touchdowns. And, mobile quarterbacks, like Freeman, are getting some solid rushing numbers. RG3, Cam Newton, and Aaron Rodgers have averaged 42 rushing yards, and Newton scored a touchdown. Freeman has thrown touchdowns in every game, and is coming off a three touchdown, 328-yard explosion against a decent Kansas City secondary.
Week Seven Add: There's no chance I'm starting Josh Freeman in anything other than an easy matchup, but since he's only got one game left all year with a pass defense that ranks in the top quartile, Freeman has got some legit upside. He's posted back to back strong games against bad secondaries, and his next few games are all against favorable pass defenses: New Orleans, Minnesota, Oakland, San Diego, Carolina. His bye week is over, which is also nice. You'll get to spot-start Freeman with a bid of $3.