Week Seventeen Analysis:
A,J. Green has scored at least once in three of his last four games and has totaled 30 targets and 16 receptions in the last two week alone. Green will next face the Ravens, a team he torched for eight catches, 151 yards, and a touchdown in Week 10. The Bengals can still clinch a first round bye, so they will be motivated against a team that's allowed 180 yards per game to receivers over the last three weeks.
Week Sixteen Analysis:
If you throw out his Week 11 dud against the Iron Haden, A.J. Green is averaging seven receptions and 113 yards in his last eight games, to go along with five total touchdowns. He has scored at least once in every game against NFC North teams this season, and he's yet to play arguably the worst defense of them all, the Vikings. On paper, this is a great matchup for the Bengals' passing attack. The Vikings rank bottom-three in receptions, yards, and touchdowns allowed to wide receivers, and they could again be without starting cornerbacks Xavier Rhodes and Chris Cook.
Week Fifteen Analysis:
A.J. Green has scored at least once and/or gone over 100 yards in all but one road game this season (the one time was against the Iron Haden). He has also scored a touchdown or gone over 100 yards in four of five career games against Pittsburgh, so there are plenty of positive angles in this matchup. After a strong start to the season, the Steelers secondary is reeling, as they've allowed eight touchdowns to wide receivers in their last six games. Cornerback Ike Taylor could draw Green in assignment because he physically matches up the best, but he's slumped to a 111 ranking at the position in pass coverage by Pro Football Focus.
Week Fourteen Analysis
A.J. Green has either scored a touchdown and/or gone over 115 yards in six of his last seven games, and he has a favorable matchup this week at home against the Colts. Over the last five games, Indianapolis has surrendered seven scores and 200 yards per game to wide receivers. And comparable players like Andre Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, and Demaryius Thomas have combined for six touchdowns in recent weeks. The Colts should get starting cornerback Greg Toler back in the lineup, which helps. But Green should also see coverage from Vontae Davis, though he has struggled recently, allowing five touchdowns in coverage in as many games.
Week Thirteen Analyis:
A.J. Green will be playing in his favorite place this week … anywhere but Cincinnati. He's scored five touchdowns on the road this year as opposed to one at home, and 16 of his 24 career touchdowns were scored after suiting up in the visitor's locker room. Making matters even better, the Bengals play the Chargers, who have allowed five touchdowns to receivers in the last three games and are ranked dead last in defending the pass by Pro Football Focus. At 6'5", Green has at least four inches on every member of San Diego's secondary, which will make him a mismatch from hell.
Week Eleven Analysis:
Forces will collide when A.J. Green and the Iron Haden square off in the second meeting of the season between the Bengals and Browns. Green posted a scoreless 51 yards in their first matchup, but he had scored at least once and/or topped 100 yards in every other career game against Cleveland. A.J. has also gone over 100 yards in each of his last five games (to go along with three touchdowns), and he's seen 34 targets in the last two weeks alone! Also keep in mind that two of the last three No. 1 receivers Haden covered were Torrey Smith, who tallied 78 receiving yards, and Jordy Nelson, who scored a touchdown. So, while Haden is great, he's not impenetrable.
Week Ten Analysis:
Since the start of last season, at home AJ Green averages 4.5 receptions, 54 yards, and half a touchdown. But on the road it's 7.5 catches, 112 yards, and 0.77 touchdowns per game. That's an almost doubling of production on the road. Unheard of! The Bengals will wear their away uniforms this week against the Ravens, a team that Green is averaging just three catches and 40 yards against in three career games. Andy Dalton is inconsistent, but Cincy's offense looks good as a whole, and Green clearly plays a huge part. Last week he led the league with 19 targets and 11 receptions, and despite the tough matchup, Dalton should force-feed him the ball.
Week Nine Analysis:
It's gotten to the point where you need to be very wary of starting a wide receiver against the Dolphins. Miami is only allowing 11 catches and 140 yards per game and amazingly, just one touchdown to the position. A.J. Green isn't just any wideout though. He's tied with Calvin Johnson for the most 100-yard games this season with four, and he's eclipsed the century mark the past three weeks to go along with two touchdowns. Green should tangle with Brent Grimes for most of the game. Grimes is ranked eighth overall at cornerback by Pro Football Focus, but Green should still produce thanks to a six-inch and 20-pound advantage on Grimes.
Week Eight Analysis:
Last week, A.J. Green played the role of Optimus Prime in the Bengals' defeat of Calvin Johnson and the Lions. Green went to-to-toe with Megatron (both had 155 yards), and he has now totaled two touchdowns and over 250 yards in his last two games. Next he faces the Jets' defense, which ranks 29th in pass coverage per Pro Football Focus. Green should expect coverage from Antonio Cromartie, who has played like a lost schoolboy this season, allowing the eighth-most yards and third-most touchdowns among cornerbacks this season.
Week Seven Analysis:
A.J. Green is back in the good graces of fantasy owners after topping 100 yards with a touchdown last week, and he next faces Detroit, a team that has allowed over 200 yards per game to receivers over the last three weeks. The Lions' top cornerback, Chris Houston, should draw Green in assignment, and even though he hasn't allowed a touchdown in coverage, Houston still stands six inches shorter and A.J. can adjust to the ball like no other. Including last year, five of Green's last six touchdowns have come on the road, as have the only 100-yard efforts he's had on the season.
Week Six Analysis:
Although he's played in two less games on the road during his short career, over 60% of A.J. Green's total receiving yards and touchdowns have come as a visiting player. Conveniently, Cincinnati heads to Buffalo this week to face the Bills, who are allowing the most yards to receivers, 234 per game. They have also surrendered seven scores to the position, including one to each of the last three opposing No. 1 receivers. Those are: Josh Gordon, Torrey Smith, and Stephen Hill, who also combined to average 120 receiving yards per game. Cornerback Stephon Gilmore could make his season debut this week, but he could be rusty and a full work load would be a surprise.
Week Five Analysis:
A.J. Green can't seem to catch a break lately. Last week he was blanketed by cover-corner extraordinaire Joe Haden, and this week he should square off against the much improved Aqib Talib of the Patriots. Talib is playing out of his mind and has to be motivated by the millions of dollars he'll make in free agency after this season. Pro Football Focus has Talib allowing the second-lowest passer rating at a measly 24.8, meaning AJ Green will have to fight for yardage all day. Still, A.J. has a few inches on Aqib and he has the second-most targets in the league while garnering over 63% of his team's red zone looks, which is also the second-best ratio in the league.
Week Four Analysis:
Normally facing all-world corner Joe Haden would be a major red flag and warrant possible benching for a receiver on your fantasy team, but this is A.J. Green, who has been pretty much unstoppable all year, even against good secondaries. He has four touchdowns in his last four games against Cleveland while averaging 85 yards. The Browns are holding opposing rushers under three yards per carry this season, which is forcing teams to try and beat them through the air. Green has seen over 62% of his teams' red zone targets, which is the second-highest ratio in the league, and he should get ample opportunity to score on Sunday even against a stout secondary.
Week Three Analysis:
A.J. Green couldn't get it going last week against Pittsburgh, but he should turn things around when he faces Green Bay. The Packers have allowed the most yards to wide receivers and have surrendered six passing touchdowns already this season. That's great news for A.J. who is the second-most targeted receiver in the league and garners over 33% of the Bengals' red zone pass attempts. Tramon Williams is a good cornerback, but A.J. has five inches on him and possesses superior wingspan. Plus, he would absolutely shred the other starter, Sam Shields, who has been thrown at the second-most times and holds the league-lead for yards allowed by corners with 264 according to ProFootballFocus.
Week Two Analysis:
Last week, A.J. Green carved into Chicago's two Pro Bowl cornerbacks and feasted for nine receptions, 162 yards, and two scores. He had two receptions of over 40 yards, one of which went for a touchdown. A.J. was also targeted twice in the red zone, both times inside the five-yard line. Green has it going early, and the Steelers better prepare to see more than the 20 pass attempts that came from Tennessee in the opener. Slowing Cincy certainly won't get easier with Larry Foote lost for the season. And keep in mind that A.J. has played Pittsburgh twice at home in his career and put six on the scoreboard in each contest.
Week One Analysis:
HBO's Hard Knocks heavily dramatized a tweaked knee on the first day of practice, but A.J. Green is all systems go and ready to tangle with one of the best corner duos in the business. Tim Jennings and Charles Tillman, last year's Pro Bowl starters, combined for 12 interceptions. The pairing was scored upon eight times though, and the Bears also lost D.J. Moore, a pivotal player in nickel coverage. A.J. should flash the same brilliance as last season when he led the league in catches over 40 yards and finished top-six or better among receivers in touchdowns, targets, receptions, and missed tackles. In addition, Green averaged nearly 107 yards per game on the road as opposed to 62 at home, and accounted for over 33% of the Bengals targets in the red zone. Only Brandon Marshall drew more attention from his team inside the twenty.
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