Week Fourteen Analysis:
The Cowboys run defense is so bad that career backup Rashad Jennings was our fourth-ranked running back last week, and it actually worked. In Dallas' last five games, opposing backfields have averaged two touchdowns and over 200 combo yards per contest. The expected return of linebacker Sean Lee will certainly help, but this atrocity started before his injury. Although Matt Forte has just one touchdown in his last four games, he's averaged over 130 combo yards in his last three. Moreover, as one of the league's premiere pass-catching backs, he should have a heyday against a team that ranks bottom-two to the position in receptions, receiving yards and receiving scores.
Week Thirteen Analysis:
Matt Forte has amassed at least 95 combo yards in 15 of his last 16 games, and for the PPR crowd, he's totaled at least five catches and 40 receiving yards in three of his last four. Those hands should come in handy this week against the Vikings. In addition to giving up over 140 rushing yards in two of their last three games, the Vikings rank 31st against opposing backs in both receptions and receiving yards. They've also allowed four touchdowns to the position in the last two weeks, and in his first meeting with Minnesota, Forte supplemented 90 rushing yards with season-highs of 11 catches and 71 receiving yards.
Week Twelve Analysis:
If seeing St. Louis on the schedule doesn't elicit involuntary drooling, you haven't been paying attention. The Rams rank bottom-five against opposing backs in both rushing and receiving yards, and they've allowed a dozen touchdowns to the position in 10 games. The last time we saw them, they were giving up 179 yards and a touchdown to Colts backs… through the air. Among backs, Forte ranks sixth in rushing yards, fifth in receiving yards, and he's scored five times in his last four games. In a nutshell, Forte's really good at everything, and St. Louis is really bad at everything.
Week Eleven Analysis:
Matt Forte carried fantasy teams through the first two months of the season, and he was coming off back-to-back monster efforts, so he gets a mulligan for last week's clunker. Forte's 33 rushing yards was his lowest total in his last 22 games, and his 16 receiving yards was his lowest total in his last 10. Unfortunately, he's going to have a tough time bouncing back this week. The Ravens allow just 3.7 yards per carry, and they rank sixth against opposing backs in the receiving game. They're also tied for the league lead with just two touchdowns allowed to the position. Forte's an every-week starter, but temper expectations.
Week Ten Analysis:
Coming off his first career three-touchdown game, Matt Forte added yet another exclamation point to his banner season with 125 rushing yards against Green Bay. It was his highest rushing total in his last 27 games, and he's now totaled 288 combo yards and four scores in the last two games alone. Detroit represents a neutral matchup on paper, but Forte's had their number since the moment he entered the league. In 11 career meetings, he's scored nine times and averaged 120 yards from scrimmage. He went for 117 combo yards and a score against Detroit earlier this season, and a similar output is well within reach.
Week Nine Analysis:
Matt Forte comes out of his bye on pace for career highs of 82 catches, over 1,800 yards from scrimmage and 14 touchdowns. In short, he's been a monster in all formats. This week he'll head to Lambeau to face a Packers defense that's allowing just 104 combo yards per game to opposing backfields. Worse, only one back has rushed for over 60 yards against the Packers, and only one back has received for over 30 yards. It's a tricky matchup, particularly without Jay Cutler under center, but Forte has proven to be matchup-proof in Marc Trestman's offense.
Week Seven Analysis:
After a sensational September, Matt Forte has come back to earth a bit in October. Still, his streak of at least 90 combo yards has reached 11 games, and his 34 catches trail only Danny Woodhead. He should be in line for his best performance of the month this week in Washington, where the Redskins are giving up 155 combo yards and a touchdown per game to opposing backs. They've allowed averages of six catches for 61 receiving yards to opposing backfields over the last three weeks, so the dual-threat Forte has a very high floor once again this week.
Week Six Analysis:
Matt Forte went for 95 combo yards and a two-point conversion last week, and it was easily his worst fantasy performance of the year. That gives you an idea of the kind of season he's having. Forte hasn't dipped below 90 combo yards in his last 10 games, and he won't this week, either. Against opposing backs, the Giants have given up a touchdown per game, and rank bottom-10 in both rushing and receiving yards. The dual-threat Forte has been firing on all cylinders, so this is a bust-proof matchup against a wobbly defense.
Week Five Analysis:
Matt Forte is playing the best football of his life, and is on pace for career bests in every major statistical category. His 24 receptions lead all backs, he's averaging 120 combo yards per game, and dating back to last season, he's now scored in five of his last six games. Not bad for a guy who used to be allergic to end zone paint! Against opposing backs, the Saints allow 5.0 yards per carry, are mediocre against the pass, and have surrendered rushing scores in two straight. Forte's become a must-start weekly play, and it's all systems go against New Orleans.
Week Four Analysis:
Matt Forte has taken his game to a whole new level. He's averaging over 120 combo yards, he's scored twice in three games, and he leads all backs with 19 receptions. In fact, he's now scored and/or topped 115 combo yards in eight straight contests. Unfortunately, Marc Trestman was the fantasy fun police in his Monday morning presser, when he declared Michael Bush the goal line back. Forte is an automatic start, but clearly, this development can only hurt him. Detroit has surrendered an awful 130 combo yards and two touchdowns per game to opposing backfields. Moreover, in 10 career meetings, Forte has scored eight times and averaged 120 combo yards.
Week Three Analysis:
Matt Forte has been even better than advertised. In the opener, he reasserted himself as Chicago's goal-line back, and last week he caught all 11 of his targets en route to 161 combo yards. His 15 catches lead all backs, and he's now scored and/or topped 100 combo yards in seven straight games dating back to last season. Pittsburgh has only allowed 3.3 yards per carry, but they can be scored on. Giovani Bernard just notched both rushing and receiving touchdowns against them, and Jackie Battle hammered one home the week before. Keep riding the hot hand with Forte.
Week Two Analysis:
So far, so good for Matt Forte in the Marc Trestman offense. His 50 yards on 19 carries were disappointing, but not completely unexpected against a stout Cincinnati run defense. Fortunately, he added four catches for 41 yards, and most importantly… he ran for a one-yard touchdown! I mentioned last week that he'd seemingly recaptured goal line duties from Michael Bush, and now it's been confirmed. Minnesota gave up three touchdowns and 283 total yards to Detroit backs last week, with most of that coming through the air. Forte totaled 119 yards the last time these teams met, and all the trends are working in his favor.
Week One Analysis:
Matt Forte finished with a flurry last season, posting at least 95 combo yards in each of his last five games, while also scoring in three of those contests. He carried that momentum into his first preseason as Marc Trestman's versatile new toy. Forte averaged a ridiculous 9.9 yards per carry, scored both a rushing and receiving touchdown on just 18 touches, and seemingly recaptured goal line duties from Michael Bush. Cincinnati is an above average run defense, but one way or another, Forte should produce.
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He hasn't topped six rushing scores once in the last four seasons, but there's reason for hope with Matt Forte. While the ship has sailed on him ever being a goal-line guy, his ability as a pass-catcher under new head coach Marc Trestman is enticing. Forte posted a respectable 44 catches for 340 yards last season, and those were actually both career lows. Trestman's plan is to feature Forte by moving him around the formation and getting him the ball in space, and the additions of first round guard Kyle Long and outstanding blocking tight end Martellus Bennett will also help pave the way. Be sure to bump Forte up a few spots in PPR leagues.