Week Seventeen Analysis:
Tony Romo's rare December heroics bailed out Eagles fantasy owners, as Philadelphia would surely have been resting their starters this week. Instead, the NFC East title is on the line, and McCoy gets a full crack at a Dallas defense that, over their last eight games, has allowed 15 touchdowns and an average of 192 combo yards per game. McCoy has averaged 153 combo yards over his last six games, and he's scored multiple touchdowns in three of his last five, so this is an uncontested layup.
Week Sixteen Analysis:
Last week LeSean McCoy's 106 combo yards marked the fifth straight game in which he's cracked the century mark, but it was an extremely disappointing output. Over his previous four games, he'd averaged 162 combo yards and a score, and Minnesota might have been his best matchup to date. Unfortunately, an early and unexpected deficit resulted in just eight carries, which was his lowest total in his last 56 games. He also failed to reach the end zone, despite Philadelphia putting up 30 points. But he'll have an excellent chance at redemption against the Bears. In Chicago's last nine games, opposing backs have totaled 12 touchdowns and averaged 174 combo yards.
Week Fifteen Analysis:
The surging LeSean McCoy might be the most desirable player in all of fantasy right now. He's posted at least 150 combo yards AND multiple touchdowns in two of his last three games, and next up is back-to-back dream matchups with Minnesota and Chicago. The Vikings allow over a touchdown per game to the position, and they've surrendered an average of 170 combo yards to opposing backfields over their last three games. Moreover, McCoy is a top-10 receiving back, and only Dallas has given up more receptions and receiving yards to the position than Minnesota.
Week Fourteen Analysis:
An enormous faction of the fantasy community still views Detroit as a pushover, but the Lions are currently the league's No. 1 run defense. In fact, they haven't allowed a single back to top even 40 rushing yards in seven straight games, and they've surrendered exactly zero rushing touchdowns over that seven-game span. LeSean McCoy has only cracked 80 rushing yards once in his last six games, and has averaged less than a half-touchdown per game over his last seven, so it will be tough sledding on the ground. Detroit also ranks top-10 against opposing backs in the passing game, so while you're never benching him, don't be shocked if McCoy is just O.K. this week.
Week Thirteen Analysis:
Birds of a feather flock together, and this Cardinals run defense is really flocking. They've surrendered a league-low three total touchdowns to opposing backs, as well as a league-low 61 rushing yards per game. They're also above average in the passing game, so LeSean McCoy has his work cut out for him on all levels. He went into his bye having scored three times in as many games, while posting at least 150 combo yards in two straight. However, Arizona hasn't allowed a back to top even 70 combo yards in their last four games, so keep your expectations in check.
Week Eleven Analysis:
Over their last five games, the Redskins have given up nine touchdowns to opposing backfields, along with 120 combo yards per game. And that doesn't even include the 189-and-one that LeSean McCoy dropped on them in the season opener. McCoy broke out of his mini-slump with 155 rushing yards last week, and now he'll look get his receiving game back on track as well. Washington has allowed four different backs to amass at least 69 receiving yards in their last seven games. Nick Foles has this offense clicking on all cylinders, which solidifies McCoy as one of the best plays of the week.
Week Ten Analysis:
Last week in Oakland, LeSean McCoy fell shy of 100 combo yards for the fifth time in his last six games. The majority of his skid can be attributed to a struggling run game, as he's averaged less than 50 rushing yards and 3.3 yards per carry in his last three games. On the other hand, the upstart passing game has helped McCoy's cause, as we saw him break out of his three-game scoring slump last week via the air. Against opposing backs the last two weeks, the Packers have given up 223 yards and three touchdowns on the ground, along with another 11 catches for 107 yards. It's a very winnable matchup for the dual-threat McCoy.
Week Nine Analysis:
The bloom is off the rose for LeSean McCoy. He's now gone three straight games without a touchdown, and he's only cracked 100 combo yards once in his last five outings. He's coming off his worst two fantasy performances of the season, and while much of this can be attributed to shoddy quarterbacking, there's no sign of that changing. Surprisingly, Oakland is only allowing 3.5 yards per carry, and they've done well against backs in the receiving game as well. McCoy's best angle is that the Raiders have surrendered six scores to the position in their last five games, but the Eagles have totaled just 10 points in the last two weeks.
Week Eight Analysis:
After scoring twice and averaging 171 combo yards in his first three games, the high-flying LeSean McCoy has drifted off course. In his last four games he's totaled just one touchdown, and he's only topped 73 rushing yards once. Fortunately, he's been doing some extra work as a receiver, averaging four catches for 37 yards over that four-game stretch. He should crank things back up this week against a middling Giants run defense that ranks bottom-five against opposing backs in the receiving game. McCoy totaled 92 combo yards and a score when these teams met less than a month ago, and a similar output would be a pretty safe projection.
Week Seven Analysis:
LeSean McCoy currently leads all backs in both rushing attempts and yardage, and he's racking up the sky miles as well. Interestingly, he's on pace for a career-low 40 receptions, but a career-high 643 receiving yards, thanks to a blistering 16.1-yard per catch average. His three touchdowns have come in Weeks 1, 3 and 5, which is an odd pattern… He'll look to continue the trend against a Dallas defense that's given up four running back touchdowns in their last three games. The Cowboys are merely an average run defense, but they rank 32nd to the position in receptions, and 31st in yardage. Expect another monster day from McCoy.
Week Six Analysis:
Despite running for just 46 yards last week against the Giants, LeSean McCoy is still the league's leading rusher, and he's averaging 140 combo yards per contest. So what happened last week, in such a favorable matchup? The answer is simple: Michael Vick was sidelined with an injury halfway through the game. McCoy carried 12 times for 50 yards with Vick under center, and eight times for -4 yards after Nick Foles relieved him. Vick is looking very doubtful this week, which will make McCoy that much easier to key on for a top-five Buccaneers run defense that's yet to allow a touchdown to the position.
Week Five Analysis:
LeSean McCoy sucked last week… well, on an oxygen mask, that is. McCoy was visibly affected by the Mile High atmosphere, and while his 94 combo yards were acceptable, he was gasping on the sidelines when Chris Polk sniped a short touchdown. It was the first time McCoy totaled less than 150 combo yards this season, but he should get right back to that level this week. The Giants are giving up 140 combo yards and a touchdown per game to opposing backs, and McCoy has averaged 125 combo yards in the teams' four meetings over the last two seasons.
Week Four Analysis:
Through three weeks, LeSean McCoy is on pace for a career-high 635 receiving yards, and an NFL-record 2,107 rushing yards. He's also scored in two of three games, and that will be his best angle this week against Denver. Opposing backs have totaled a league-low 90 rushing yards in three games against the Broncos, and have averaged just 1.7 yards per carry. However, Denver is bottom-ten against opposing backs in the passing game, and they've surrendered exactly one rushing touchdown and one receiving touchdown in each of their three games. Shady should do plenty of damage despite modest rushing totals this week.
Week Three Analysis:
Last week LeSean McCoy carried 20 fewer times for 131 fewer yards than he did in the opener. And he was still a beast. McCoy supplemented his 53 rushing yards with five catches for 114 yards against San Diego, and through two weeks his 356 combo yards are nearly 100 more than the next back on the list. The Chiefs have held Maurice Jones-Drew and DeMarco Murray to a combined 119 total yards, but the matchup doesn't even matter for McCoy at this point. He's an elite, every-week option in this offense for as long as Mike Vick is under center.
Week Two Analysis:
LeSean McCoy's role in Chip Kelly's innovative offense was even more awesome than advertised in the opener. The run-heavy, fast-break approach resulted in a career-high 31 carries for McCoy, and his 184 yards were 83 more than the next best Week 1 rusher..and he was a quarterback. McCoy's scintillating performance included a 34-yard touchdown scamper, and this week he'll face a middling San Diego run defense that stands little chance of keeping pace in a track meet. Arian Foster and Ben Tate combined for over 150 combo yards against the Chargers last week, so expect another big day from McCoy.
Week One Analysis:
LeSean McCoy followed up his 1,600-yard, 20-touchdown 2011 campaign with a throwaway 2012 season marked by injury, regression, and an outright offensive implosion. However, he gets a career rebirth in a Chip Kelly offense that looks like it was invented just for him. It's a fast-break attack based on misdirection and putting playmakers in space, and it's resulted in a video game preseason for McCoy. Washington was a top-10 run defense last year, but McCoy went for over 100 combo yards in both matchups, and he's averaged 128 combo yards in the teams' last five meetings. Sit back and enjoy the show.
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New head coach Chip Kelly runs a fast-break spread attack that's built on misdirection and quick decision-making from an athletic quarterback. Although LeSean McCoy is coming off a throwaway season, the defensive imbalance that Kelly's system creates is a perfect fit for a player as shifty and explosive in space as McCoy. A faster pace results in more plays per game, and Oregon ran the ball an astounding 65% of the time last season. In theory, McCoy is in for a monster year, but in reality, there's a wide range of possible outcomes, including the very real possibility that Kelly's quick break offense breaks quickly once transferred to the NFL.