Week Seventeen Analysis:
Jay Cutler gets the start on Sunday despite a lousy game last week. It's a juicy matchup with the sagging Green Bay secondary. But in this pivotal, win-and-you're-in game, will Marc Trestman yank Cutler early if he struggles? That's your risk. Not the Packers. Green Bay has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in four straight games, and in the earlier matchup, Josh McCown threw for a healthy 272 yards and two scores.
Week Sixteen Analysis:
Jay Cutler returned to the helm of the Bears last week. He probably was nearly benched after a rusty start, but he warmed up, and ended up with a nice stat line: three touchdowns and 265 yards. He could easily hit those numbers against a much worse secondary in Philadelphia this Sunday night. The Eagles rank 31st against passing yardage, allowing 307 yards per game. Throwing out the blizzard game two weeks ago, the Eagles have given up big passing games to middling quarterbacks Matt Cassel, Carson Palmer, and Robert Griffin over the last month. Cutler has big upside in this game, with the only danger being a potentially quick hook if he struggles, which I don't expect.
Week Ten Analysis: 11/7 Update
Cutler was named the starter for week 10 against the Detroit Lions and was immediately put into Charch's top 10.
Week Seven Analysis:
I'm delighted with the improvement in Jay Cutler's play. He's still capable of the periodic meltdown (like we saw in the Lions game), but that's become an aberration. Cutler has not thrown an interception in three of his past four games, so his mistakes are clearly down. He's scored in every game, and better, he's scored multiple touchdowns in every game but one. And, now he gets another favorable matchup, this time with Washington. For most of the year, the Redskins secondary has been brutal, but they did manage a good game against Tony Romo last Sunday night. Still, I don't believe the Redskins secondary is much better than what we saw in the prior games, and I'm starting Cutler with confidence.
Week Six Analysis:
Jay Cutler has never been more fantasy relevant. He's passed for multiple touchdowns in four of five games. He's topped 300 yards in back to back games for the first time in 52 games. And, now look, he faces the Giants. He's never posted three straight 300 yard games, and it's a very real possibility. Two of New York's opponents have topped 300 passing yards. And, only one team has allowed more passing touchdowns than the Giants. Normally, you have to sweat Jay Cutler getting sacked into a woozy, mistake-prone, profanity-laced game. But the Giants are managing just one sack per game, the worst total in the league. So, Cutler should be upright throughout, and he'll continue to find his many targets including emerging wide receiver Alshon Jeffery.
Week Five Analysis:
Most of last week's game was a mess for Jay Cutler, but he rallied at the end and finished with 317 yards, 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. If you're in a league that penalizes heavily for turnovers, Cutler may never grace your starting lineup. He's turned the ball over 95 times in his last 60 games. If not, he's probably bordering on a top 10 play under this new offense. This week I'm not super optimistic as he faces a revitalized Saints defense. Since Rob Ryan took over as defensive coordinator, the Saints have held three of the four quarterbacks they've faced to fewer than 200 yards and held every opponent to 17 or fewer points.
Week Four Analysis:
Even though he didn't light up the box score last Sunday night, for the first time in his career, I'm ready to say that Jay Cutler feels like a dependable fantasy starter in most matchups. Thank you, Marc Trestman! Sure, he doesn't have massive upside. After all, he's hit three touchdowns just once since way back in 2010. But he's never been dependable until now, so he's making strides. Detroit's secondary looks improved, allowing just two passing scores all year. But based on the three wobbly offenses they've faced, I'm not sold that this defense is as good as their stats. Cutler feels like safe play.
Week Two Analysis:
I was impressed with Jay Cutler's game last week against a very good Cincinnati pass defense. He got better as the game went on, and Marc Trestman's calls got gutsier as he learned to trust his offense. I like his chances of improving on his 242 yard, two-touchdown performance as he faces a far inferior Minnesota secondary this week. The Vikings allowed very big game to Matthew Stafford last week, and looked highly beatable. Even though Jay Cutler didn't do much in last year's meetings with the Vikings, I like him a lot more in his new offense, and against a secondary adapting to life without Antoine Winfield.
With the addition of quarterback guru Marc Trestman as the Bears head coach, Jay Cutler is officially out of excuses. Trestman is a clinician, proven capable of remolding quarterbacks. He'll ask Cutler to execute an up-tempo, quick-read offense. Cutler will take short dropbacks, and quickly distribute the ball. The Bears offensive line was once again addressed via the draft and free agency with the additions of first rounder Kyle Long and the acquisition of Jermon Bushrod. That will certainly help keep Cutler upright, and ongoing problem for him since arriving in Chicago. All of this will make Cutler more efficient. But, it's fair to wonder if all of Trestman's short, timing route stuff will end up making Cutler a fantasy point producer.
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