Week Sixteen Analysis:
Tony Romo is taking a lot of heat for last week's epic collapse, but the Dallas defense is the unit responsible for Green Bay's six second-half touchdowns. Romo made mistakes, but he also threw for 358 yards and two scores. I'd like to tell you that Romo will hit those numbers again, but I'm not sure he will. He faced Washington earlier in the year, and posted the lowest scoring fantasy game of any quarterback they've seen: just 170 yards and one score. And his previous game against the Redskins was similarly modest, with 218 yards and two scores. Organizationally, the Redskins are in a freefall, so a defensive collapse, like we saw two weeks ago against the Chiefs, is possible, lending some real hope for upside to Romo.
Week Fifteen Analysis:
It was a weird Monday night game for Tony Romo, as he team had a huge deficit, yet he only threw the ball 20 times. Fortunately, he converted that scant usage to three touchdowns. He faces another favorable matchup this week as he takes on the Packers. Green Bay has allowed opposing quarterbacks to score in every game this year. And if you remove Christian Ponder from the schedule, opposition quarterbacks are averaging a healthy 276 yards and 2.1 touchdowns per game. That's almost exactly Romo's per game average this season, so you've got a very solid baseline for your expectations.
Week Fourteen Analysis:
It's been a modest season for Tony Romo. He hasn't had big games. He's thrown multiple touchdowns and topped 300 yards in the same game just two times all year. Conversely, Romo hasn't had much downside either. He's thrown touchdowns in every game, and he's fourth in touchdown passes. The Chicago secondary has only allowed three passing touchdowns in the last three games, but they've faced Matt Cassel, Kellen Clemens and Joe Flacco. Looking at Romo's peers to face Chicago, Drew Brees and Matthew Stafford, they averaged two touchdown passes and 250 yards. That feels like a very safe estimate for Romo, even if he doesn't have massive upside.
Week Thirteen Analysis:
Tony Romo has been a pretty safe start against sub-par defenses, like this week's opponent, Oakland. Over the last month, he's posted multiple touchdowns against the Giants, Vikings and Lions. That's right in the same ballpark as the Raiders. What's more, the Raiders have seen very few good quarterbacks this year. Romo will represent the second-best quarterback they've seen all year, and the best one, Peyton Manning, threw for 374 yards and three touchdowns. It's a strong opportunity for Romo.
Week Twelve Analysis:
Tony Romo faced the Giants in week one, and put up a solid game with 263 yards and two scores. It took him 49 passes to get there, though. And, actually those whopping 49 passes were dwarfed by the number he threw in his prior meeting with the Giants when he threw an insane 62 times. Romo has scored multiple touchdowns against the Giants in five straight games, and over those five games his average outing is an impressive: 323 yards, and 2.6 touchdowns. All that sounds great until I tell you that the Giants have shut out four straight quarterbacks. Yes, New York hasn't allowed a touchdown pass since week six. But should that stop you from starting Romo? Probably not since the quarterbacks New York faced in those four games were Christian Ponder, Matt Barkley, Terrelle Pryor, and Scott Tolzien.
Week Ten Analysis:
Tony Romo saw these same Saints at the very end of last season, and held up his end of a historic shootout with Drew Brees. Romo threw for 416 yards and four touchdowns. I can't guarantee a similarly massive game, but Romo remains a solid start. He's scored in every game this year, and he's thrown multiple touchdowns and/or topped 298 yards in eight of nine games. So, there's very little downside in Romo, even against a much improved Saints secondary that has allowed zero or one touchdown in six of the last seven games. The Saints have seen predominantly bad-to-mediocre opposing quarterbacks, though, including Thad Lewis and Geno Smith over the last two weeks.
Week Nine Analysis:
Another week, another defensive patsy for Tony Romo. In the Cowboys eight games so far, they've played seven decidedly easy pass defenses, and now they get the Vikings. Romo is having a good year, but it should be Peytonesque considering that he's only faced one good defense all year. In a home game against the reeling Vikings, Romo is poised for greatness again. Only two teams are allowing more passing touchdowns per game than Minnesota's 2.1. The Vikings remain without injured safety Harrison Smith and could be without the other safety Jamarca Sanford who left last week's game. Backups Mistral Raymond and Andrew Sendejo are awful.
Week Eight Analysis:
Which Tony Romo will we see this week? We obviously can't expect 500 yards and five touchdowns each week, but following that up with only two total scores to three picks, despite back-to-back easy matchups with the lowly Eagles and Redskins defenses is teetering on pathetic. The state of Texas has taken it easy on Romo after winning each of those games, but fantasy owners know better. The Lions have allowed both Andy Dalton and Brandon Weeden to throw for over 290 yards and multiple scores in each of the last two weeks. Needless to say, Romo is better than both those guys.
Week Seven Analysis:
Another week, another easy matchup for Tony Romo. This time against an Eagles defense that has allowed multiple passing touchdowns to every quarterback besides Alex Smith. Philadelphia ranks 30th in passing yards allowed, and only three teams have allowed more passing touchdowns than the Eagles. Romo is coming off a very disappointing fantasy game against a bad Washington defense, but prior to that, he had thrown multiple scores in seven of his previous eight games going back to last year. Romo threw five touchdowns in two games against these Eagles last year. Start Romo with confidence.
Week Six Analysis:
I think Tony Romo is still throwing passes from last Sunday's epic tilt against the Broncos. Romo is having a great season, both in fantasy and reality terms. He's thrown multiple touchdowns in four of five games. And he's completing 72% of his passes, way more than his career average. And, hey look, it's another cupcake on the schedule. Washington allows the fifth-most passing yards, 323 per game. And only Matt Flynn has failed to throw multiple touchdowns against them.
Week Five Analysis:
Drew Brees holds the NFL record for completion percentage in a season at a 71.6% average. If you've been keeping a watchful eye over the league, you may have noticed that Tony Romo is completing passes at a rate of 72.4% this season, and he's thrown 8 touchdowns to only 1 interception in the first four weeks. A hot start for Romo meets up with a defense that is known for getting bailed out by their own quarterback more than they are for stopping a team. The Broncos defense has allowed 248 yards or more to every quarterback they've faced this season, including a pair of 362 yard games to Joe Flacco and Eli Manning in the first two weeks. Peyton will likely stake a big lead, ensuring Romo needs to pass throughout the game.
Week Four Analysis:
It's early, but the Chargers secondary is looking like one of the worst in the league. Last week, they faced Jake Locker, and allowed him to more than double his yardage output from either of his other games this year. Before that Mike Vick and Matt Schaub blew up on them for 346 and 428 yards. So, the matchup bodes well for Tony Romo this week, even if Miles Austin can't play. Romo has been hyper efficient completing more than 70% of his passes in all three games. Last week, he augmented his efficacy with three touchdown passes. He hasn't had an explosive game yet this year, but this one looks like a real possibility.
Week Three Analysis:
The Rams secondary has been lit up by Carson Palmer and Matt Ryan to the tune of 327 and 374 yards, and four touchdowns. I expected better from Cortland Finnegan and Janoris Jenkins. Romo has been super efficient through two games, completing 73 and 71% of his passes, while averaging 280 yards. He's getting zero help from his running game, but he's got his full compliment of receivers at near full health, so he's a solid start, as usual.
Week Two Analysis:
If the Chiefs could schedule Blaine Gabbert every week, they'd challenge the '85 Bears. The Chiefs didn't give up a point to the Jaguars offense last week, and held them to a paltry 178 total yards. Tony Romo is, obviously, a dramatically more difficult test. Romo has thrown multiple touchdowns in seven of his past eight games, including last Sunday night when he completed 74% of his passes, and threw for two touchdowns. The Chiefs are one deep at corner, with Brandon Flowers as a solid coverage guy. Offseason acquisition Sean Smith is a physical corner, but his looming matchup with the speedy Miles Austin will present problems for him, and give Romo several chances to make plays.
Week One Analysis:
Over his last five full games against division rival New York, Tony Romo has averaged 43 passes thrown, 350 yards and 2.6 touchdowns. Those are some seriously gaudy numbers. And there's little reason to think he can't perform similarly well again. The Giants secondary, despite being bad last year, returns most of the same guys, except for their best safety, Stevie Brown, who got put on IR last week. As an added bonus, Romo has his full arsenal of receiving talent healthy for once. My only worry is that the Giants still have some big name talent up front, and the Dallas offensive line remains lousy.
Mobile Video--> http://bit.ly/15V6mnO
Tony Romo probably deserves more respect than I'm giving him with this ranking. After all he threw for nearly 5,000 yards last year, and for six years, he's been a solid high-20s touchdown producer. Plus, Dez Bryant has emerged as a legit playmaker at wide receiver, something he's never had before. Plus, he's scored touchdowns in 35 of his last 37 full games. I love that kind of consistency. For this year, Romo doesn't lose any weapons. But, I wish the Cowboys had done more for his offensive line. He's absorbed 36 sacks in each of the past two years. Using a first rounder on a reach at the center position will help, but this offensive line needed more than that, and didn't get it. I worry that a leaky line limits Romo's upside.
Mobile video--> http://bit.ly/14694IN